The study, published on May 5, indicates that the PP-A could obtain 42.4% of the votes, surpassing the PSOE-A by 22.3 points. The latter party would see its representation reduced to between 25 and 27 seats, which would represent its worst historical result in regional elections.
The survey, conducted between March 27 and April 16 among 8,000 people, also shows growth for Vox, which would consolidate as the third force with 14.4% of the votes. Meanwhile, Por Andalucía would obtain 7.9% of the votes, while Adelante Andalucía would reach 6.9%, allowing it to secure five seats.
“"The poll reflects that, among the parties currently with parliamentary representation in Andalusia, Vox, Por Andalucía, and Adelante would improve their vote share compared to the June 2022 elections."
Regarding the provincial distribution, the PP-A would be the most voted force in all eight Andalusian provinces. In Granada, the PP-A would secure seven deputies, while the PSOE-A would get 3-4. In Almería, the PSOE-A could be surpassed by Vox. In Málaga, the PP-A would obtain between 8 and 9 deputies, and in Sevilla, nine seats.
The barometer also asked respondents about their preference for the presidency of the Junta de Andalucía. 49.6% of those surveyed pointed to the current president, while 21.4% opted for the socialist candidate. The study also evaluates the perception of well-being and quality of life in the region, placing it at an average of 7 points.
