The report, based on a survey of 8,000 people conducted between March 27 and April 16, positions the PP as the most voted political force with 42.4% of support, which would translate into 53 to 56 deputies in the autonomous Chamber. This projection indicates that the PP would be close to an absolute majority.

In the province of Córdoba, the PP would secure six of the 12 seats, doubling the representation of the PSOE, which would obtain three deputies, the same as in 2022. Meanwhile, Vox would consolidate its presence with two seats, one more than four years ago, and the Por Andalucía coalition would secure one representative. Adelante Andalucía would not gain representation in this province.

The study also reveals that the leader of the Popular Party is the most recognized politician in Andalusia, with 97.2% recognition, and is the preferred candidate to preside over the Junta de Andalucía by 49.6% of those surveyed. Other political leaders such as the vice president of the Spanish Government, the coordinator of United Left Andalusia, the spokesperson for Vox in the Andalusian Parliament, and the spokesperson for Adelante Andalucía, were also evaluated in the survey.

Regarding the intention to vote at the autonomous level, the PSOE would be the second force with 20.1% of the votes and between 25 and 27 seats. Vox would be the third force with 14.4% of the votes, obtaining between 17 and 19 seats. Por Andalucía would achieve between four and seven representatives with 7.9% of the votes, and Adelante Andalucía would reach five seats with 6.9% of support.

The electoral program, management, and the candidate are the main factors influencing voting decisions, according to the study. Furthermore, 59.4% of the surveyed population decides their vote before the start of the electoral campaign.