In a detailed analysis for ABC de Sevilla, Trujillo, who holds a doctorate from the University of Granada, dissects the factors that will define the next regional elections in Andalusia. He emphasizes that, despite being regional elections, the discussion will lean towards national issues, a trend observed in recent electoral processes.

President Juanma Moreno's decision to call early elections for May 17 is interpreted as a strategy to leverage the element of surprise and set the pace of the campaign. This move aims to gain an advantage over opponents like the PSOE, whose candidate, María Jesús Montero, has institutional responsibilities that limit her capacity for an intense pre-campaign. Furthermore, the May date avoids voter demobilization that could result from the start of summer holidays.

The expert also addresses the situation of Vox, indicating that the party will seek to capitalize on pacts in other communities to present itself as a useful and decisive force in achieving certain policies. This strategy aims to consolidate its most loyal electorate and prevent vote leakage to the Partido Popular.

Regarding the left, Trujillo points out the evident fragmentation, though he clarifies that the sum of forces does not always translate into greater electoral impact. In the Andalusian case, formations like Adelante Andalucía have developed their own Andalusian identity, differentiating themselves from national options such as Podemos and Sumar. Cooperation among these forces, rather than integration, could be key, especially in provinces where vote division penalizes seat acquisition.

Finally, the professor highlights that while Andalusian sentiment exists, it is largely compatible with Spanish identity, which limits the electoral potential of projects based solely on this identity. In a highly volatile context, the final days of the campaign and undecided voters will be crucial for the ultimate outcome.