According to the survey, the PP would secure between 7 and 8 seats in the province, representing a 22 percentage point lead over the PSOE. The socialists, for their part, would achieve 20% of the support, translating into 2 to 4 seats, a figure similar to the three obtained in the 2022 elections.

The study, conducted between April 10 and 18 with a sample of 8,017 interviews across Andalusia, also indicates that Vox could obtain between 1 and 3 seats, which would represent a slight improvement compared to their current two parliamentarians. Adelante Andalucía, with its candidate in Cádiz, could double its representation, going from one to two parliamentarians.

Regarding other formations, the party of a well-known politician, which in 2022 secured two seats in Cádiz, would remain with 12.5% of the votes and the possibility of an additional seat. Por Andalucía would maintain its representation with a single parliamentarian, obtaining 7.1% of the votes.

The new party Se Acabó la Fiesta, with 2% of the votes, would not achieve representation in the Andalusian Parliament. The formation 100x100 Unidos, which emerged from local governments in municipalities such as La Línea de la Concepción and Chipiona, does not have a clear vote estimate in this study.

In the 2022 elections, the 15 seats in the province of Cádiz were distributed as follows: PP (8), PSOE (3), Vox (2), Adelante Andalucía (1), and Por Andalucía (1).