According to the study, conducted between February 27 and March 12 with 3,600 interviews, Juanma Moreno's PP would secure between 54 and 57 seats, approaching the absolute majority threshold of 55 deputies. This result improves upon the previous December barometer and aligns with trends observed in other recent surveys.
In contrast, the Andalusian PSOE, led by María Jesús Montero, would remain in a range of 26 to 27 seats, representing its worst historical result and a significant drop compared to the 2022 elections. Vox also shows stagnation, projected to win between 17 and 20 parliamentarians, a figure lower than the growth expectations managed earlier this year.
In contrast to a fair or good image of the Junta de Andalucía's management, there is widespread disapproval of Pedro Sánchez's Government: 61% of respondents rate its management as bad or very bad.
Left-wing formations, Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía, remain stable, collectively securing between 7 and 9 deputies. The barometer was conducted before Podemos' integration into Por Andalucía, so the impact of this union is not reflected in the current data.
Regarding leader evaluations, Juanma Moreno solidifies his position as the best-rated with a score of 5.46, and 40% of respondents prefer him as president. On the other hand, María Jesús Montero receives the lowest score at 3.74, influenced by the negative perception of Pedro Sánchez's Government's management, which 61% of Andalusians rate as bad or very bad.
Healthcare and housing emerge as the main concerns for Andalusians, even surpassing rising prices. Despite this, the survey indicates similar confidence in both the PP and PSOE to address these issues, with 18% support for each party in this area.
