The political landscape in Andalusia remains largely unchanged at the midpoint of the electoral campaign, with the incumbent party solidifying its position as favorite and an absolute majority within reach. The main opponent's agenda has been reduced to more discreet events, while the far-right party has resorted to the presence of its national leader to boost its message.
A recent survey by the Centro de Estudios Andaluces (Centra) confirms that the governing party maintains its options to renew its absolute majority, although this will largely depend on results in key provinces such as Cádiz, Málaga, and Córdoba. The possibility of needing support from the far-right party has led the party leadership to moderate its discourse on potential alliances.
“"The decision [to reach an agreement] is not mine, but that of the citizens."
On the left side of the political spectrum, polls indicate that the socialist candidate could lose seats compared to previous elections, while another left-wing formation could triple its representation. The arrival of national leaders, such as the Prime Minister and the opposition leader, in Andalusia this Sunday is considered a key moment to try and shift the campaign's trend.
The socialist candidate has chosen to surround herself with several former members of the Council of Ministers this week, seeking support from relevant figures in more controlled events aimed at an already convinced audience. This strategy contrasts with that of her main opponent, who has preferred to maintain a more independent profile from his national leader so far.
“"There will be no surprises in what remains of the campaign. I am focused on proposals, the opponent on videos and songs."
Tomorrow's televised debate on Canal Sur between the candidates with parliamentary representation will be the second and final one of the campaign, and it is expected to set the tone for the final stretch of the electoral contest. At stake is the revalidation of an absolute majority and the configuration of relations between the parties in the Andalusian parliament.




