The province of Seville witnessed an unprecedented electoral outcome in the June 2022 Andalusian elections, when the Popular Party managed to turn the political map blue, traditionally a socialist stronghold. On that occasion, the Popular Party tripled its seats, going from three to nine deputies, and secured over 40% of the votes, surpassing the PSOE by 15 points.

This dominance extended to the 2023 municipal elections, where the PP regained the Capital's Mayoralty and took control in numerous municipalities. However, they failed to wrest the Provincial Council from the socialists. For the May 17 elections, it is anticipated that the PP will again be the most voted force in the province, though it is considered unlikely to repeat the exceptional 2022 result, which benefited from the decline of other left-wing formations and the collapse of Ciudadanos.

In 2022, the PP secured victories in traditionally socialist towns such as Dos Hermanas and Alcalá de Guadaíra, as well as in the Aljarafe region and other major cities like Écija and Carmona. The PSOE, which obtained five deputies, only maintained its strength in La Rinconada and some small towns. Vox retained its two seats and aims for a third, while Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía each secured one representative.

The main parties have put forward well-known figures to lead their lists. For the PP, the Minister of Culture, Patricia del Pozo, heads the candidacy. The PSOE and Por Andalucía present those aspiring to the presidency of the Junta. Polls suggest that the PP will remain the leading force and the PSOE the second, with Vox in third place. The key will lie in the positioning of the electorate to the left of the PSOE.