Demographic data for the province of Cordoba in the first half of 2026, released by the INE, show a slight 0.7% year-on-year increase in births, representing 18 new births compared to the same period last year. While modest, this figure breaks the downward trend the province had been experiencing since 2021.
Since 2021, when 5,799 births were recorded, the province had not seen an increase. In that year, growth was 2.6%. Prior to that, there were six consecutive years of decline. The last perceptible rise before 2021 was in 2014, with a minimal +0.1%. Between 2014 (7,178 births) and 2025 (5,240), the number of newborns fell by 27%.
Regarding deaths, the INE estimates that 4,051 deaths occurred by June, a 3.3% decrease compared to the same period last year, with 138 fewer fatalities. In 2025, deaths had increased by 2.3% to 7,930, breaking a two-year trend of declines (2024 saw -3.3% and 2023 saw -7%).
Despite the slight improvement in births, the province's natural population balance remains significantly negative. In the first half of 2026, there were 1,472 more deaths than births, with deaths exceeding births by 57.1%. This negative balance is the primary driver of population loss in Cordoba.
A recent INE study estimates that the province of Cordoba could see its population decrease by 4.3% over the next 15 years. If its population was 773,022 inhabitants in January 2026, projections suggest it will fall to 739,794 by 2041. An estimated 77,937 births are expected compared to 125,839 deaths, resulting in a net loss of 47,902 people. This decline will not be offset by the positive migration balance (+14,674 citizens, mainly foreigners), as emigration, influenced by the province's economic weakness, continues to contribute to the demographic drain.
