The yellow team finds itself in a paradoxical situation: although it has gone nine consecutive matchdays without a win, with eight losses and one draw, and has only accumulated five points out of a possible 54 in the second half of the 2025-26 season, its survival chances have improved. This improvement is mainly due to the poor performance of the teams occupying the relegation spots.
Initially, Cádiz CF's relegation probabilities exceeded 50% due to their worrying lack of points. However, after matchday 39, the trend has shifted. Despite losing at home against Deportivo de La Coruña, the simultaneous defeats of their four direct pursuers have been crucial.
“"The probability of the Cádiz team staying in LaLiga Hypermotion rises from just over 40% to 65% with the end of the championship just around the corner."
According to updated estimates by Besoccer, the probability of Cádiz CF remaining in LaLiga Hypermotion has increased to 65%, reducing the chance of relegation to 35%. This implies that, according to these calculations, the team would avoid relegation in two out of three scenarios.
Other teams such as Cultural Leonesa and Real Zaragoza have very low survival percentages, 2% and 4% respectively. Huesca and Mirandés also face a complicated outlook, with 8% and 22% chances of staying up. Leganés, with a six-point lead, would only be relegated in 1% of cases, despite having to face other teams involved in the fight for survival in the second half of May.
